Signals
Four signals measuring whether a token's market signals are coherent and directional, or just noise.
MemeTokenContext
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| velocity_signal 35% price momentum |
| resonance_signal 30% volume spike |
| depth_signal 20% holder growth |
| coherence_signal 15% organic ratio |
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NarrativeScore (0-100) > Phase > InsightWhy velocity gets 35%
Price velocity is the most immediate expression of narrative. When a token moves fast — up or down — attention is flowing toward it right now. Volume can lag. Holder count updates slowly. But a sharp 1h price change means someone is paying the cost of attention with real capital.
Velocity Signal
Price velocity is the most immediate expression of narrative. When a token moves fast — up or down — attention is flowing toward it right now. The signal uses absolute value because direction doesn't determine narrative intensity. A 35% dump and a 35% pump are equally loud.
|1h price change| >= 15% triggers score = min(abs(change) x 2, 100) Fast moves in either direction carry narrative weight. A dump is a narrative event too.
Resonance Signal
Volume above baseline means the market is processing this token as signal — not background noise. When 1h volume exceeds 2.5x the hourly average, something is happening.
1h volume >= 2.5x hourly baseline triggers baseline = volume_24h / 24 score = min(ratio x (100/2.5), 100) Volume above baseline = market is paying attention.
Depth Signal
Narratives that spread past early adopters have structural depth. Holder growth is context window expansion — on-chain. If holders grew >= 4% vs previous snapshot, the narrative is spreading.
holder count grew >= 4% vs previous snapshot triggers score = min(growth_pct x 5, 100) Holder growth = narrative spreading beyond early adopters.
Coherence Signal
Community-to-value alignment. Many holders per dollar of mcap means distributed attention — the definition of organic traction. This is a structural quality signal, not a momentum trigger.
holders / (market_cap_usd / 1000) >= 8 triggers score = min(ratio x (100/8), 100) High ratio = distributed attention = organic traction.
Why coherence is only 15%
Holder-to-mcap ratio is a structural quality signal, not a momentum trigger. A token can have excellent organic traction and still sit in NOISE phase if it hasn't caught a wave yet. Coherence tells you what kind of token it is — not whether the narrative is moving. That's why it gets the smallest weight.
Test these signals in the Lab
Experiment with different parameters